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文章选择了能够反映经济景气的GDP增长指数、固定资产投资名义增长率、CPI、商品零售价格指数等指标对我国各省与全国进行了相关分析 ,得出 :( 1 )全国、各省 1 978年以来经济都实现了较好的增长 ,但是欠发达地区平均增长速度慢于全国 ,更慢于发达地区 ,相对于广东当年GDP的比重下降。 ( 2 )各省经济景气趋势的离散程度不一 ,一般发达省份振幅大、离散程度高 ,欠发达省份振幅小、离散程度低。 ( 3 )绝大部分省与全国经济景气循环的相关性强 ,基本同步。其中 ,物价变动相关性最高 ,固定资产投资名义增长、工业增加值增长相关性次之 ,GDP增长相关性再次之。产业间表现为第二产业增长指数变动相关性最高 ,第三产业次之 ,第一产业基本不相关。各项指标发达省份与全国的相关性一般高于欠发达省份。最后文章分析了统一的宏观调控对区域差距的可能影响 ,并从宏观调控方面提出了相应的对策建议
The article chooses the GDP growth index, the nominal growth rate of investment in fixed assets, CPI, the retail price index and other indicators to analyze the economic growth of our country and the whole country, and draws the conclusion that: (1) Since the beginning of 1978 The economy has achieved good growth, but the average growth rate of underdeveloped areas is slower than that of the entire country and slower than that of developed areas, and the proportion of Guangdong’s GDP in that year is declining. (2) The trend of economic prosperity in different provinces varies in different degrees. Generally, the developed provinces have large amplitude and high degree of dispersion. The less developed provinces have small amplitude and low degree of dispersion. (3) The correlation between the vast majority of provinces and the national economic cycle is strong and basically synchronized. Among them, the highest correlation of price changes, nominal investment in fixed assets, industrial added value growth followed by relevancy, GDP growth correlation again. The inter-industry performance showed the highest correlation with the change of the second industry growth index, the third industry followed, and the first industry basically unrelated. The correlation between developed provinces and the whole country is generally higher than that of less developed ones. Finally, the article analyzes the possible impact of unified macro-control on regional disparity, and puts forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions from the perspective of macro-control