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文章分析了21世纪的全球化将呈现的三大趋势:即南部新兴的工业化国家将成为世界经济的有力推动者;发展的力量由大都市的机构转向发展中国家;在自由化市场中国家成长变得更为协调,这将共同形成一个多元发展的时代。文章认为,问题的关键在于发展领域的两个裂变:其一是进入21世纪后,部分发展中国家逐步脱离西方国家体系的掌控;其二是2008年的危机减缓或改变着西方的政治和经济。本文在结论部分还进一步分析了2008年危机以后,21世纪发展趋势减缓现象,并讨论了后危机时代新兴社会的崛起,以及发展多元化等内容。
The article analyzes the three major trends in globalization in the 21st century: the emerging industrialized countries in the south will become powerful promoters of the world economy; the power of development will shift from metropolitan institutions to developing countries; and the growth of countries in liberalized markets Become more coordinated and this will jointly form an era of pluralistic development. The article holds that the crux of the problem lies in two fissions in the field of development: one is that some developing countries are gradually separated from the control of the western state system after entering the 21st century; the other is that the crisis in 2008 slowed down or changed the political and economic conditions in the West . In the conclusion part, this article further analyzes the slowdown of the development trend in the 21st century after the 2008 crisis and discusses the rise of the emerging society in the post-crisis era and the development of diversification.