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第一,中国长期的经济增长主要依靠什么?出口带动了中国经济增长,但不是主要的。这么多年来,中国的经济增长是靠国内投资需求和消费需求的增长来带动的。就是说,内需(包括投资需求和消费需求)是带动中国经济增长的主要因素。因此要抵消由于出口可能受到不利影响而造成的经济增长率下降,加大国内的需求是必要的。怎样加大国内的需求?一般来说,应该通过三个途径:1、现在是投资搞基础设施,特别是投资交通运输设施最好的时候。大量投资于修铁路、公路、高速公路。从长远来看,可以保证中国今后的经济增长;从近期来看,是加大国内需求的重要方面。修铁路、公路、高速公路,首先需要建筑材料。修路还需要劳动力。修公路是解决不了城市下岗工人的就业问题的,因为城里人未必乐意去修公路。谁去修路呢?农民去修路。农民有了收入,
First, what is the main reason for China’s long-term economic growth? Exports have driven China’s economic growth, but not major ones. For so many years, China’s economic growth has been driven by the growth of domestic investment and consumer demand. In other words, domestic demand (including investment demand and consumer demand) is the main factor driving China’s economic growth. Therefore, it is necessary to offset the drop in economic growth rate that may be caused by the possible adverse impact of exports and to increase domestic demand. How to increase domestic demand? Generally speaking, we should go through three channels: 1. It is time to invest in infrastructure, especially to invest in transportation facilities. Invest heavily in railways, highways and highways. In the long run, China’s future economic growth will be guaranteed. In the short term, this will be an important aspect of boosting domestic demand. Repair railways, highways, highways, the first need for building materials. Roadwork also requires labor. Repairing roads can not solve the employment problem of laid-off workers in urban areas because urban people may not be willing to repair the roads. Who is going to build a road? Farmers have income,