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在论证农民收入问题是“三农”议题核心中的核心的基础上,以2000-2013年的《中国农村统计年鉴》为数据样本,选取11项相关指标构成指标体系,通过Pearson相关性分析检验指标选取有效性,并通过诸因素回归分析,建构起“三农”议题的数学模型。利用“双因素理论”将影响“三农”议题解决的诸因素一分为二,认为农业补贴、农业科技进步贡献率、农业综合机械化率和劳动力素质是有效推进“三农”议题解决的激励因素,并站在公共行政学的视角提出了对策和建议。
On the basis of demonstrating that the peasants’ income is the core in the core issue of “agriculture, rural areas and farmers” and taking “China Rural Statistical Yearbook” from 2000 to 2013 as the data sample, 11 relevant indicators are selected to constitute the index system and Pearson correlation Analyze the validity of test index selection and construct the mathematical model of the issue of agriculture, rural areas and farmers through the regression analysis of various factors. Using “two-factor theory” to divide the various factors that affect the resolution of “three rural issues” into two, we think that agricultural subsidies, the contribution rate of agricultural science and technology progress, the comprehensive agricultural mechanization rate and the quality of labor force are effective measures to promote “ ”Motivation to solve the problem, and from the perspective of public administration put forward countermeasures and suggestions.