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2012年,全球经济仍处于金融危机后的调整期,中国经济受长短期因素叠加影响持续减速,在此背景下福建经济增长较去年有所放缓,其中国际因素影响福建的主要途径是出口和外商直接投资首先,国内因素影响福建的主要途径是宏观调控和省际贸易。展望2013年,世界经济运行的不确定与不稳定因素仍在聚集,但部分领域开始出现积极变化,预计弱势复苏将是未来两年全球经济的主旋律,而中国已不可能再回到两位数增长的时代,7%—9%的中速增长将会是常态。在此背景下下,福建出口增速将较今年持平略升,投资增长可能平稳略降,消费有望保持稳中有升,总体上福建经济可望稳中趋升,增长12%左右。
In 2012, the global economy is still in a period of adjustment after the financial crisis. Under such circumstances, the economic growth of Fujian Province has slowed down compared with that of last year. Among which, the main channel of international influence in Fujian is export and trade Foreign Direct Investment First of all, the main ways in which domestic factors affect Fujian are macro-control and inter-provincial trade. Looking ahead to 2013, uncertainties and unstable factors in the operation of the world economy are still gathering, but some areas have started to undergo positive changes. Weak recovery is expected to be the main theme of the global economy in the next two years, and it is impossible for China to return to double digits In an era of growth, moderate growth of 7-9% will be the norm. Against this backdrop, the growth rate of Fujian’s exports will be slightly higher than that of this year. Investment growth may be steadily declining. Consumption is expected to maintain steady growth. Generally speaking, Fujian’s economy is expected to rise steadily with an increase of 12%.