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本文首先阐述了“荷兰病”的含义及其对经济发展的危害,其次借助理论模型深入论述了资源业的繁荣如何通过资源转移效应和支出效应导致“反工业化”的内在机理,并归纳出“荷兰病”的典型症状。最后,利用俄罗斯的相关数据进行了具体的实证检验,得出俄罗斯已经在很大程度上出现了“荷兰病”的典型症状的结论,并提出了有针对性的防治“荷兰病”的政策建议。
This paper firstly expounds the meaning of “Dutch disease ” and its harm to economic development, and secondly, by means of theoretical model, it discusses in depth how the prosperity of resource industry leads to the internal mechanism of “anti-industrialization” through resource transfer effect and expenditure effect, And summed up “Dutch disease ” typical symptoms. Finally, the author uses Russia’s relevant data to conduct a specific empirical test, concluding that Russia has largely emerged the typical symptoms of “Dutch disease” and proposed targeted prevention and treatment “Dutch disease ”Policy recommendations.