历史本身会不停地重复,所以过去发生过灾难,肯定要准备。可是那些没有发生过的事情,不代表不用准备。做BCM的先决条件是什么?就是考虑事情的影响。华人说前因后果,很多时候。做风险分析时,考虑的只是前因:火灾是前因。但如果真有企业发生火灾的话,后果是什么?如果企业里面发生了火灾,对企业有怎样的影响?如果企业发生了火灾,会影响什么东西?会影响到人员吗?会丧失人员吗?会丧失基础设施吗?会造成供应链中断吗?BCM第一个先决条件就是考虑后果。 History itself will repeat itself, so in the past there have been catastrophes that must be prepared. But those things that have not happened, does not mean that you do not have to prepare. What is a prerequisite for BCM? It is to consider the impact of things. Chinese say the antecedents and consequences, many times. When doing risk analysis, consider only the cause: fire is a cause. But what happens if there is a fire in a business? What happens to a business if there is a fire in the business? What happens if a business fires? Does it affect people? Will people be lost? Will be lost Infrastructure? Will it break the supply chain? BCM’s first prerequisite is to consider the consequences.