影响中国经济持续健康发展的根本因素,是内部的一系列结构性问题,外部冲击是通过“放大”和“催化”这些结构性问题而对中国经济产生影响的。国家统计局近日发布的数据显示:2012年第一季度中国GDP同比增长率为8.1%,自2011年第一季度以来,中国GDP增长率已经连续五个季度呈现出下降态势。由此,引发了一些对于中国经济会否“二次探底”的担忧。从时序意义来看,得益于市场化改革和对外开放的“双轮”驱动,1978—2008年 The fundamental factors that affect the sustained and healthy development of China’s economy are a series of internal structural problems. The external shocks affect China’s economy through structural problems such as “amplification” and “catalysis.” National Bureau of Statistics recently released data show that: China’s first quarter of 2012 GDP growth rate of 8.1%, since the first quarter of 2011, China’s GDP growth rate for five consecutive quarters showed a downward trend. As a result, it raised some concerns about whether the Chinese economy will “double dip”. In terms of timing, thanks to the “double round” drive of marketization reform and opening to the outside world, from 1978 to 2008