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文章采用协整检验和误差修正模型对广东省1985—2011年的出口贸易和碳排放之间的关系进行实证分析。协整研究结果表明:出口贸易与碳排放之间存在长期均衡稳定关系。在误差修正模型中,结果也表明了广东省出口贸易与碳排放二者之间在短期内存在紧密联系。文章针对分析结果提出了相应的建议:创新和推广低碳技术、构建碳交易平台、优化出口贸易结构和完善法律法规。
The article uses cointegration test and error correction model to analyze the relationship between export trade and carbon emissions in Guangdong Province from 1985 to 2011. The results of the co-integration study show that there is a long-term equilibrium and stable relationship between export trade and carbon emissions. In the error correction model, the results also show that there is a close correlation between Guangdong’s export trade and carbon emissions in the short term. Based on the analysis results, the article put forward corresponding suggestions: innovation and promotion of low carbon technologies, construction of carbon trading platform, optimization of export trade structure and improvement of laws and regulations.