我们已进入21世纪第6年,近年人们对通信业的发展相当关注。20世纪末21 世纪初,通信业因经济泡沫破裂受到极大影响,大家希望在经济恢复后,可以看到通信业再次进入高速发展期。对此,虽然每年都有人作出预测,可高速发展的情形到目前为止一直没有出现,在提供宽带通信和无线3G的地方不理想,其它新东西虽然谈得多,可真正能够落实的也很少,通信业界充斥着一种不安。通信业到底向何处去？何时能进入发展速度更快、更理想的境界？其实,通信业的快速发展不是靠一些发展中国家,比如中国、印度这些国家从没电话向有电话、从有线电话向无线电话的成长来拉动;而是需要真正的增值服务或新服务的发展体现, 但近年来这些业务的发展并不好。那么,通信业能不能再度辉煌呢？ We have entered the sixth year of the 21st century. In recent years, people are very concerned about the development of the telecommunications industry. At the end of the 20th century and the beginning of the 21st century, the communications industry was greatly affected by the economic bubble burst. We hope that after the economic recovery, we can see the telecommunications industry once again entered a period of rapid development. In spite of this, every year, people make predictions and the rapid development has not occurred so far. Whereas it is not desirable to provide broadband communications and wireless 3G where other new things are much talked about, few can be really implemented The communications industry is full of unease. Where is the telecommunications industry going? When will we be able to enter the realm of faster growth and better development? In fact, the rapid development of the telecommunications industry does not depend on the fact that some developing countries such as China and India are moving from no-call to no-call to from wireless to cellular telephony; rather, they require the development of real value-added services or new services However, the development of these businesses has not been very good in recent years. Then, the telecommunications industry can not be brilliant again?