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本文运用计量分析方法探究1990~2012年四川省房地产投资与经济增长的关系,格兰杰因果检验表明两者之间存在单向因果关系;对经过自相关修正后的时间序列做误差修正模型,结果表明房地产投资对经济增长的拉动系数为0.462。
This paper uses econometric methods to explore the relationship between real estate investment and economic growth in Sichuan Province from 1990 to 2012. The Granger causality test shows that there is one-way causal relationship between the two. Based on the error correction model of the time series after autocorrelation, The result shows that the pulling coefficient of real estate investment to economic growth is 0.462.