【摘 要】
：
针对新型冠状病毒(COVID-19)疫情前后老年人公交出行满意度是否存在异质性的问题,利用太原市的老年人调查数据,根据疫情大环境细分出公交出行满意度10个指标因变量,采用多元有序Logit(Multi-Categorical and Ordered Logit,MCOL)模型和结构方程模型,研究了个人属性、出行属性和心理属性在疫情前后对老年人公交出行满意度的影响.结果表明:个人属性中户籍、性别、职业、是否残疾以及残疾程度都对不同的满意度指标产生显著效应;出行属性中疫情前出行目的为工作的出行对等车时间和到达
【机 构】
：
太原科技大学交通与物流学院 ,太原 030024
论文部分内容阅读
针对新型冠状病毒(COVID-19)疫情前后老年人公交出行满意度是否存在异质性的问题,利用太原市的老年人调查数据,根据疫情大环境细分出公交出行满意度10个指标因变量,采用多元有序Logit(Multi-Categorical and Ordered Logit,MCOL)模型和结构方程模型,研究了个人属性、出行属性和心理属性在疫情前后对老年人公交出行满意度的影响.结果表明:个人属性中户籍、性别、职业、是否残疾以及残疾程度都对不同的满意度指标产生显著效应;出行属性中疫情前出行目的为工作的出行对等车时间和到达时间有负向影响,非工作出行则对车内状态的相应指标产生负向影响,而疫情后仅非工作出行对与疫情相关的防疫安全警示信息有积极的显著影响.出行距离和出行时间在疫情前后对老年人公交出行满意度的影响趋势一致;心理属性变量中疫情前关注程度仅对心理不安情绪有效应值为0.758的强烈正影响,不同的是在疫情后额外产生了心理不安情绪对公交出行满意度的显著负效应,效应值为-0.119.此次研究可对未来发生相似重大突发性公共卫生事件时改善老年人的公交出行环境有一定的参考作用.
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