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预计今年春潮的总趋势是正常偏小,类似于1962年和1965年,或此1965年稍大。返潮开始期比1965年早,约在3月8～12日,盛期在8月15～18日,持续时间稍长,落潮期约在3月25～28日。据农业部门的实践经验,春小麦的播种宜早不宜迟,并且预计2月中下旬、3月上旬温度偏高一些;土壤解冻日期也较早,较快,因此播种期可适当提早一些。
The general trend of the spring surge is expected to be normal and small, similar to 1962 and 1965, or slightly larger in 1965. The initial stage of damp back is earlier than 1965, about March 8 ~ 12, and the peak period is from August 15 to August 18, with slightly longer duration and ebb period about March 25-28. According to the practical experience of the agricultural sector, the sowing of spring wheat should not be delayed as early as possible, and the temperature is expected to be higher in the middle of February and early March of early March, and the soil thawing date is earlier and faster, so the sowing period may be earlier.