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一、粮食丰产不会压制新年稻谷价格看好势头据中华粮网最新发布的供需平衡表显示,2009年国内稻谷市场仍维持总量平衡有余格局,但区域平衡和品种结构矛盾仍然存在。预计2009年国内稻谷消费量18375万吨,其中口粮消费15575万吨,饲料用粮1500万吨,工业用粮875万吨,其他用粮425万吨。从进出口情况看,受出口配额等限制,2009年国内稻谷(大米按70%折率)出口量预计115万吨,同比减少20万吨;因国内稻米继续增产,预计2009年国内稻谷进口量40万吨,与上年基本持平,仍保持在较低水平(见下图)。
First, the grain yield will not suppress the price of the New Year is optimistic about the trend According to China Food Network recently released supply and demand balance sheet shows that in 2009 the domestic rice market still maintain a balance of more than adequate pattern, but the regional balance and variety of structural conflicts still exist. In 2009, domestic paddy consumption is estimated at 183.75 million tons, of which 155.75 million tons are for rations, 15 million tons are for feed, 8.75 million tons are for industrial use, and 4.25 million tons are for other crops. In terms of import and export, due to restrictions on export quotas, domestic exports of rice (at a 70% discount rate) are expected to be 1.15 million tons in 2009, down 200,000 tons year-on-year. As the domestic rice production continues to increase, the domestic rice imports in 2009 400,000 tons, basically the same with the previous year, remained at a low level (see below).