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本文基于1978~2010年时间序列数据,运用协整理论及其分析方法和VAR(向量自回归)模型,分别从存量和水平角度分析浙江省创新型人力资本与经济增长的关系。结果表明,浙江省创新型人力资本与经济增长之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系;浙江省经济增长的短期波动受短期创新型人力资本存量波动的影响和偏离长期均衡的影响。
Based on the time series data from 1978 to 2010, this paper analyzes the relationship between innovative human capital and economic growth in Zhejiang Province from the perspective of stock and level, using the cointegration theory and its analysis method and VAR (Vector Autoregressive) model. The results show that there is a long-term and stable equilibrium relationship between innovative human capital and economic growth in Zhejiang Province. The short-term fluctuation of economic growth in Zhejiang Province is affected by the fluctuation of short-term innovative human capital stock and the deviation from long-term equilibrium.