针对日本神户大学安井三吉教授关于卢沟桥事变“偶发”说的观点,本文认为,1937 年7 月7 日的卢沟桥事变,当年的华北日军肯定有一个策划过程,这是有大量历史事实可以证明的。在我们已知的历史资料中,能够证明日军有“谋略”的资料比强辩他们“无谋略”的资料更有力更充分。安井教授完全不顾及这些重要的事实,而把一系列按既定计划采取的行动和计谋败露后蛮横提出的无理要求,都从整个事件过程中分离出来,说成是“偶发”的,无法让人接受。本文对有关史实重新作了系统论证,证明卢沟桥事变是以当年日本华北驻屯军参谋班为主的阴谋分子精心策划的产物 In response to the view expressed by Professor Atsui Mitsui of Japan’s Kobe University about the accidental incident of Lugouqiao Incident, this paper argues that the Lugouqiao Incident on July 7, 1937 and the North China Japanese Army of that year certainly had a planning process, which can be proved by a large number of historical facts. Among the historical data we have known, it can be shown that the Japanese have “strategies” more powerful and fuller than their arguments of “no strategy”. Professor Atsui completely ignored these important facts and separated a series of unwarranted demands made arbitrarily after the scheduled actions were taken and his plans were uncovered from the whole incident and described them as “incidental” and unable to make people accept. This article re-analyzes the historical facts systematically and proves that the Lugouqiao Incident was a product carefully planned by the conspirators mainly composed of the chief of staff of North China Garrison in North China in that year