世界银行《东亚经济发展报告(2006)》提出了“中等收入陷阱”(Middle Income Trap)的概念,其基本涵义是指,一个经济体从中等收入向高收入迈进的过程中,既不能重复又难以摆脱以往由低收入进入中等收入的发展模式,很容易出现经济增长的停滞和徘徊,人均国民收入难以突破1万美元。这主要是因为,进入这个时期,经济快速发展积累的矛盾集中爆发,原有的增长机制和发展模式无法有效应对由此形成的系统性风险,经济增长容易出现大幅波动或陷入停滞。从二战后世界经济发展进程看,仅有为数不多 The World Bank’s East Asia Economic Development Report (2006) proposed the concept of “Middle Income Trap”. The basic meaning of this is that an economy can neither move from middle income to high income Repeatedly and hard to get rid of the mode of development that has been made from low-income access to middle-income in the past, it is easy to witness the stagnation and wandering of economic growth, making it hard for national income per capita to exceed 10,000 U.S. dollars. This is mainly due to the fact that the contradictions accumulated in the rapid economic development have been concentrated in this period. The original growth mechanism and development model can not effectively cope with the systemic risks thus formed, and the economic growth tends to fluctuate or stagnate. From the perspective of the world economic development after World War II, there are only a few