根据CGSS2010年的数据,以公平感知、支出压力、政治信任为外因潜在变量,以政治功效感、冲突感知与群体性事件为内因潜在变量,研究中国社会冲突影响因素及其与冲突行为的逻辑关系。使用结构方程模型进行验证性因素分析后发现:社会公平感知越高,社会冲突感知越强烈;家庭消费支出压力感受越高,对社会冲突感知就越弱;政治信任感越高,社会冲突感知越强烈;政治功效感越高,参与群体性活动的可能性越低。而通过对双变量的相关分析则发现:地方政府信任感越低,周边发生群体性事件的可能性越高;家庭消费支出压力越大,参与群体性事件角色的可能性越高。 According to the data of CGSS2010, this paper studies the factors that affect social conflicts in China and their relation to conflict with the methods of fairness perception, expenditure pressure and political trust as latent variables of external causes, political efficacy, conflict perception and group events as internal variables . Confirmatory factor analysis using structural equation model found that the higher social fairness perception, the stronger the social conflict perception, the higher the family consumer spending pressure perception, the weaker the social conflict perception, the higher the political trust and the social conflict perception Strong; political sense of higher efficacy, the lower the possibility of participation in group activities. Through the analysis of the bivariate correlations, it is found that the lower the trust of local governments, the higher the possibility of mass incidents around them; the greater the pressure of household consumption expenditure and the higher the possibility of participating in the mass incidents.