本文以1999-2013年数据为基础,运用协整检验对美国消费需求与中国对美耐用品出口贸易的关系进行研究。结果表明,美国耐用品消费需求的变动是引起中国对美耐用品出口变动的原因,且两者之间存在正相关的稳定的协整关系。我们应正确认识美国消费需求下降带来的负面影响,积极调整出口政策,确保中国对美出口贸易的稳定增长。 Based on the data from 1999 to 2013, this paper uses cointegration test to study the relationship between consumer demand in the United States and Chinese export of durable goods to the United States. The results show that the change in consumer demand for durable goods in the United States is the cause of the change in China’s export of durable goods to the United States, and there is a positive and stable co-ordination relationship between the two. We should correctly understand the negative impact of the drop in consumer demand in the United States, actively adjust our export policies and ensure a steady growth of China’s export trade with the United States.