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将实验经济学的方法成功应用于寡头垄断电力市场研究,介绍了价值诱导原理、电力市场寡头垄断实验设计方案和实验过程,针对一个由3个厂商组成的寡头垄断实验市场进行了多次实验并对实验结果进行了严格的统计分析。实验结果表明,在寡头竞争市场环境、不对称成本函数和重复博弈条件下,市场竞争逐渐收敛到完全竞争均衡和纳什均衡之间的结果。被试者是否具有辅助决策工具对实验结果有显著影响,在具有辅助决策工具时,有限理性的被试者在重复博弈中能达到理论上的静态纳什均衡。所得结论为电力市场的仿真实验研究提供了方法论上的参考,也为寡头垄断电力市场的参与者行为和市场均衡分析提供了实验依据。
The method of experimental economics was successfully applied to oligopolistic power market research. The principle of value induction, oligopoly experimental design and experiment process in power market were introduced. Several experiments were conducted on an oligopoly market consisting of three firms The experimental results of a rigorous statistical analysis. The experimental results show that the market competition gradually converges to the result of complete competition equilibrium and Nash equilibrium under the condition of oligopolistic competition market, asymmetric cost function and repeated game. Whether the subjects have aided decision-making tools has a significant impact on the experimental results. When there is aided decision-making tools, the bounded rationality of the subjects in the repeated games can achieve theoretical static Nash equilibrium. The conclusions obtained provide a methodological reference for the simulation research of the electricity market and provide experimental evidence for the participant behavior and market equilibrium analysis of the oligopolistic electricity market.