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2013年1季度,我国经济没有延续2012年4季度的弱回暖势头,走势低于人们的预期水平,经济增长速度小幅回落;消费物价涨幅略有反弹,但仍保持在低位。外需明显改善,成为稳增长的有利因素;但内需状况偏弱,消费需求增速走低。下一阶段,我国经济增长将面临一些新挑战,加强防范金融风险、限制三公消费、强化房地产市场调控以及禽流感疫情均会对经济走势产生一定影响;物价涨幅不存在明显反弹动力,国际市场大宗商品价格转降、谨慎的货币政策和经济增长速度较低都支持物价涨幅保持在低位。
In the first quarter of 2013, China’s economy did not sustain the momentum of weak rebound in 4Q12. The trend was below the expected level of people and the rate of economic growth declined slightly. However, consumer prices rose slightly but remained at a low level. Foreign demand has improved markedly, becoming a favorable factor for steady growth. However, the domestic demand situation is weak and the growth rate of consumer demand is declining. In the next stage, China’s economy will face some new challenges. Strengthening financial risk prevention, limiting the spending of the three public sectors, strengthening the regulation of the real estate market, and the outbreak of bird flu will all have an impact on the economic trend. There is no obvious rebound in the price rise, and the bulk of the international market Lower commodity prices, prudent monetary policies and lower economic growth all support the price hike remaining low.