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应用马尔柯夫系统模型和危险度分析法分析了高中学生饮酒模式意向的决定条件。结果显示：饮白酒主要受抑制性条件的影响，而饮色酒则受促使性和抑制性两方面条件的作用。女性饮酒模式的可变性要大于男性。在促使性条件中，饮色酒主要受他人态度的影响，饮白酒则在于精神调节和同伴压力的作用；交往需求在各种情况下都起作用。而在前者，异性朋友对饮酒的支持态度要重要于父母的支持态度。在抑制性条件中，社会支持和环境约束较健康宣教更具有普遍意义。
Application of Markov system model and risk analysis method to analyze the decision-making conditions of high school students’ drinking pattern intention. The results showed that drinking white wine was mainly affected by the inhibitory conditions, while the drinking wine was stimulated and inhibited by both conditions. Women’s drinking patterns are more variable than men’s. Among facilitated conditions, drinking and drinking is mainly influenced by the attitude of others. Drinking white spirit lies in the role of mental adjustment and peer pressure. Communication needs play a role in various situations. In the former, heterosexual friends ’attitudes toward alcohol consumption are important to parents’ supportive attitude. In inhibitory conditions, social support and environmental constraints have more universal significance than healthy missionary education.