Sensitivity Analysis of the ALMANAC Model's Input Variables

来源 :城市道桥与防洪 | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:huohuoshan000
下载到本地 , 更方便阅读
声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架
论文部分内容阅读
Crop models often require extensive input data sets to realistically simulate crop growth. Development of such input data sets can be difficult for some model users. The objective of this study was to evaluate the importance of variables in input data sets for crop modeling. Based on published hybrid performance trials in eight Texas counties, we developed standard data sets of 10-year simulations of maize and sorghum for these eight counties with the ALMANAC (Agricultural Land Management Alternatives with Numerical Assessment Criteria) model. The simulation results were close to the measured county yields with relative error only 2.6%for maize, and - 0.6% for sorghum. We then analyzed the sensitivity of grain yield to solar radiation, rainfall, soil depth, soil plant available water, and runoff curve number, comparing simulated yields to those with the original, standard data sets. Runoff curve number changes had the greatest impact on simulated maize and sorghum yields for all the counties. The next most critical input was rainfall, and then solar radiation for both maize and sorghum, especially for the dryland condition. For irrigated sorghum, solar radiation was the second most critical input instead of rainfall. The degree of sensitivity of yield to all variables for maize was larger than for sorghum except for solar radiation. Many models use a USDA curve number approach to represent soil water redistribution, so it will be important to have accurate curve numbers, rainfall, and soil depth to realistically simulate yields.
其他文献
我国HBeAg阴性慢性乙型肝炎(CHB)占CHB患者的30% ~ 40%,且有增长趋势[1];以基因B、C型为主.HBeAg阴性CHB患者ALT持续或反复异常,肝组织学检查肝脏病变较重,病情缓解比例低,发生肝硬化、临床失代偿和肝细胞肝癌(HCC)概率高;对当前治疗的应答率低、复发率高.关键词:肝炎,乙型,慢性;肝炎e抗原,乙型;聚乙二醇干扰素;应答指导治疗;停药
该文从挂篮荷载计算、施工流程、支座及临时固结施工、挂篮安装及试验、合拢段施工、模板制作安装、钢筋安装、混凝土的浇筑及养生、测量监控等方面人手,介绍了S226海滨大桥
66 F1 hybrids, produced by 3 double low self-incompatible lines and 22 varieties with a North Carolina Ⅱ (NCⅡ) crossing design, were tested for their heterosi
该文从挂篮荷载计算、施工流程、支座及临时固结施工、挂篮安装及试验、合拢段施工、模板制作安装、钢筋安装、混凝土的浇筑及养生、测量监控等方面人手,介绍了S226海滨大桥
目的 探讨单纯后路应用椎弓根钉内固定治疗下颈椎骨折脱位的可行性.方法 回顾性分析2010年1月至2012年12月采用一期单纯后路椎弓根钉内固定治疗30例下颈椎骨折脱位患者资料,男22例,女8例;年龄24~61岁,平均41岁;C4,5骨折伴脱位8例,C5,6骨折伴脱位12例,C6,7骨折伴脱位10例.ASIA脊髓损伤分级:A级8例,B级12例,C级5例,D级3例,E级2例.结果 所有颈椎骨折脱位均获
该文从挂篮荷载计算、施工流程、支座及临时固结施工、挂篮安装及试验、合拢段施工、模板制作安装、钢筋安装、混凝土的浇筑及养生、测量监控等方面人手,介绍了S226海滨大桥
期刊
@@
Vegetative growth of young apple trees trained in vertical axis were studied with ‘Red Fuji,‘Jonagold’, ‘ Orin’ and ‘ Starkrimson’on M7, MM106, M26 inter
乙型肝炎病毒(HBV)的研究始于Blumberg等[1]在1965年首次发现“澳抗”,也就是HBsAg.HBsAg的发现是肝炎研究史上的一个重要突破.随着建立起急慢性肝炎与血清中“澳抗”的关联性,研究者们才进一步明确了传染性肝炎的病原体之一,即HBV.HBsAg的发现为灵敏、有效的HBV诊断方法奠定了基础,同时,HBsAg的定性检测也使得研究者们很快阐明了HBV感染在全世界范围内的分布情况.近几年
该文从挂篮荷载计算、施工流程、支座及临时固结施工、挂篮安装及试验、合拢段施工、模板制作安装、钢筋安装、混凝土的浇筑及养生、测量监控等方面人手,介绍了S226海滨大桥