中国农业的将来方向为:①由传统化改为现代化;②由粗放改为集中;③要确保21世纪,16亿人口(2030年预测)的粮食;④保护生态系统与自然。但其限制因素在于:①水、耕地资源的不足;②生态环境的恶化、多发自然灾害(如:干旱)、病虫灾害;③劳动生产率很低,科学技术很低的贡献率等,在食 The future direction of China’s agriculture is: 1 to transform from traditionalization to modernization; 2 from extensive to centralized; 3 to ensure 21st century, 1.6 billion people (2030 forecast) of food; 4 to protect the ecosystem and nature. However, the limiting factors are: 1Insufficient water and cultivated land resources; 2Deterioration of the ecological environment, multiple natural disasters (such as: drought), pests and diseases; 3Low labor productivity, low contribution of science and technology, etc.