,An Emergency Decision Making Method Based on Prospect Theory for Different Emergency Situations

来源 :国际灾害风险科学学报(英文版) | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:wangzuyuan
下载到本地 , 更方便阅读
声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架
论文部分内容阅读
Emergency decision making (EDM) is an effective way to deal with emergency situations because of its prominent role in alleviating the losses of properties and lives caused by emergency events.It has drawn increasing attention from both govments and academia,and become an important research topic in recent years.Studies show that decision makers are usually guided by bounded rationality under risk and uncertainty conditions.Their psychological behavior plays an important role in the decision making process,and EDM problems are usually characterized by high risk and uncertainty.Thus,decision makers’ psychological behavior has been considered in existing EDM approaches based on prospect theory.An emergency event might evolve into different situations due to its dynamic evolution,which is one of the distinctive features of emergency events.This important issue has been discussed in existing EDM approaches,in which different emergency situations are dealt with by devising different solutions.However,existing EDM approaches do not consider decision makers’ psychological behavior together with the different emergency situations and the different solutions.Motivated by such limitation,this study proposed a novel approach based on prospect theory considering emergency situations,which considers not only decision makers’ psychological behavior,but also different emergency situations in the EDM process.Two examples and related comparison are provided to illustrate the feasibility and validity of this approach.
其他文献
亚麻(Linum usitatissimum L.)新型温敏雄性不育系的创建和研究,对于亚麻杂种优势利用具有十分重要的意义。本研究以新型亚麻温敏雄性不育系1S为研究对象,结合常规育种和分子生物学研究和分析方法,重点开展了雄性不育的遗传、杂种优势和育性基因的RAPD分子标记研究,取得的主要结论如下:1.雄性不育的遗传通过在自然条件下对不育系杂交后代F_1、F_2群体的育性鉴定,结果F_1代全部可育,
[摘 要] 新形势下,我国在职民警培训工作在公安教育中的重要作用正日益凸显。在职民警培训工作的核心点在于确保培训质量,确保培训质量的关键在于紧抓教学过程。针对目前在职民警培训教学过程中存在的问题,从思想、内容、手段、队伍四个方面提出改革意见。  [关键词] 在职民警培训;教学过程;问题与改革  [中图分类号] G642 [文献标志码] A [文章编号] 1008-2549(2018) 02-010
Urban flooding has become a regular phenomenon in many towns and cities in the Asia Pacific region over the past years.Professionals associated with disaster ma
为了解支链淀粉合成相关基因等位基因间的差异对稻米淀粉理化特性的影响,试验利用苏御糯为供体亲本、桂朝2号为受体亲本的BC2F4群体,将检测到的只含有1个来自苏御糯品质基因的单株进行相互杂交,经加代得到遗传背景相近的3个F_2群体,继而通过发展分子标记进行基因型检测、分析不同纯合基因型植株胚乳淀粉的理化特性、定量分析水稻胚乳发育时期相关基因的mRNA在胚乳中的表达量,研究了5个支链淀粉合成相关基因等位
试验于2003-2005年连续两年在河南农业大学科教示范园区进行。以强筋小麦品种豫麦34为材料,研究了不同氮硫处理与小麦光合特性、氮硫同化关键酶、干物质积累与分配、籽粒灌浆特性、主要品质指标以及产量的关系。主要试验结果如下: 1.氮、磷、钾和硫配施对小麦产量的影响 氮、磷、钾、硫四因素正交试验结果表明,氮、硫对产量的影响达到极显著水平,是影响冬小麦产量的最大因子,而磷肥、钾肥对产量影响不显著
Rural and peri-urban communities in Japan,as well as in many other regions of the world,face risks of discrete event natural phenomena,including earthquakes,flo