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在研究了国内6种主要木质林产品出口现状的基础上,采用“恒定市场份额模型”的二阶层次分解,对2001～2008年我国木质林产品出口增长因素进行实证分析。结果表明,我国木质林产品出口增长主要依赖于世界木质林产品贸易额增长以及自身的竞争力,这是导致我国木质林产品产品出口贸易波动的主要因素,而其它几个因素对木质林产品出口的贡献相对较小。继续提高国内木质林产品的竞争力,优化出口产品结构,改善出口市场结构是未来扩大出口的有效途径。
Based on the research on the current situation of the export of six main woody products in China, this paper uses the second-level decomposition of the “constant market share model” to make an empirical analysis of the growth factors of the export of woody forest products in China from 2001 to 2008. The results show that the growth of export of woody forest products in our country depends mainly on the growth of the world’s trade of woodland products and its own competitiveness, which is the main factor leading to the fluctuation of the export trade of woodland products in China. However, the export of woodland products by several other factors The contribution is relatively small. Continue to improve the competitiveness of domestic woody forest products, optimize the structure of export products and improve the export market structure is an effective way to expand exports in the future.