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发展低碳经济是为了防止全球变暖。但科学界在全球变暖的相关问题上尚存争议,争议主要体现在四个方面,即全球变暖是确定的还是不确定的?气候变暖是自然造成的,还是人类活动造成的?人类面对气候变暖是减缓还是适应?面对跨期选择,是积极应对,还是消极应对?科学的不确定性对全球变暖的政策响应产生了诸多影响。本文对国内外有关发展低碳经济四大争议问题的研究进行了系统梳理,并作出理性的分析,希望借此能为我国发展低碳经济和提高政府决策科学性提供参考依据。
The development of a low-carbon economy is to prevent global warming. However, the scientific community is still controversial on issues related to global warming. The controversy is mainly reflected in four aspects: is global warming determined or uncertain? Is climate warming caused by nature or is it caused by human activities? Human beings In the face of climate change is to slow down or adapt? Facing intertemporal choice, is a positive response or a negative response? Scientific uncertainty on the policy response to global warming has had a lot of impact. This paper systematically reviews the domestic and foreign research on the four controversial issues concerning the development of a low-carbon economy and makes a rational analysis in the hope that this will provide a reference for our country to develop a low-carbon economy and improve the scientific decision-making of the government.