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基于计划行为理论构建了林农意愿模型,提出了林农经营碳汇林业意愿的影响因素假设。对湖南省主要林区桑植县的172名林农经营碳汇林业的意愿进行了调查,采用Logit回归模型对假设进行了实证分析。结果表明,占样本总量的63.37%的林农有经营碳汇林业的意愿。在林农意愿影响因素方面,林农对碳汇林业促进生态环境保护的认可程度和预期收入情况对其经营意愿有极显著的正面影响;政策支持、家人的态度以及林农对经营碳汇林业的便利性评价对其经营意愿有显著的正面影响。最后,根据研究结论对有关部门引导林农经营碳汇林业提出了相关建议。
Based on the theory of planned behavior, a model of forest farmers ’willingness is constructed, and the hypothesis of influencing factors of forestry farmers’ willingness to operate carbon sequestration forestry is proposed. 172 forest farmers in Sangzhi County, a major forest area in Hunan Province, were investigated for their willingness to operate forestry for carbon sequestration. Logistic regression models were used to empirically test assumptions. The results showed that 63.37% of the sample farmers accounted for forestry carbon sink forestry will. In terms of the influencing factors of forest farmers’ willingness, the forest farmers’ approval of the carbon sequestration forestry for ecological environment protection and the expected income have a very significant positive impact on their business intentions; the policy support, the attitudes of their families and the forestry farmers’ convenience to the operation of carbon sequestration forestry Evaluation has a significant positive impact on its business intentions. Finally, according to the conclusions of the study, the relevant departments are put forward relevant suggestions for guiding forest farmers to operate carbon sink forestry.