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1998年世界卫生报告《21世纪的生活——万众之理想》(Life in the 21st century,A vision for all),全面阐述了1955～2025年全球卫生状况及发展趋势。世界卫生组织从中摘引了50件较具体的“干货”,现译载如下,供读者参考。 人口(1)1955年,全球人口为28亿,而现在已达58亿。每年增加人口约8000万,到2025年,全球人口可达80亿。(2)1955年,全球68％的人口生活在农村,32％生活在城市;到1995年,这一比例变成55％生活在农村,45％生活在城市;到2025年,预计41％世界人口生活在农村,而59％生活在城市。(3)在1997年的每一天,大约有365000婴儿诞生,大约140000人死亡,自然增长220000人。(4)今天的人口中,5岁以下的儿童约6.13亿;5～19岁的青少年约17亿;20～64岁的成年人31亿;65岁以上的老年人约 3.9亿。(5)需要正在工作的人口生活支持的老龄人口,1955年为10.5％,1995年为12.3％,到2025年将增加到17.2％。(6)1955年,每有100个年龄不到20岁的人,就有12个65岁以上的人;而到1995年这个比例是16/100;到2025年,这个比例增加到31/100。(7)到2025年,20岁以下的人口将
The 1998 World Health Report “Life in the 21st century (A vision for all)” comprehensively elaborated the global health situation and development trend from 1955 to 2025. The World Health Organization has extracted 50 more specific “dry goods” from it, which are translated below for readers’ reference. Population (1) In 1955, the global population was 2.8 billion, and now it has reached 5.8 billion. Each year, the population will increase by about 80 million. By 2025, the global population will reach 8 billion. (2) In 1955, 68% of the world’s population lived in rural areas and 32% lived in cities. By 1995, this proportion had become 55% living in rural areas and 45% in cities; by 2025, 41% of the world’s The population lives in rural areas, and 59% live in cities. (3) On each day in 1997, approximately 365,000 babies were born, approximately 140,000 died, and the natural increase was 220,000. (4) Of today’s population, about 613 million children under 5 years of age; about 1.7 billion young people aged between 5 and 19; 3.1 billion adults between 20 and 64; and about 390 million over 65 years old. (5) The old-age population that needs the living support of the working population is 10.5% in 1955, 12.3% in 1995, and will increase to 17.2% by 2025. (6) In 1955, for every 100 people under 20 years old, there are 12 people over 65 years old; by 1995, this ratio is 16/100; by 2025, this proportion will increase to 31/100. . (7) By 2025, people under the age of 20 will