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从宏观经济运行情况来看,1999 年预计GDP增长率在6.9% ~7.1%范围,商品零售物价总水平为- 2.9% 左右,城镇真实失业率(加下岗职工)在8% ~9% 之内。由于出口增长率好转,到年底,如果扩张投资的财政政策能刺激非财政投资跟进,国民经济运行可能止跌回升。2000 年,如果在抑制储蓄、刺激非财政投资部分,鼓励发展中小企业,放开建设小城镇等方面给予较宽松的政策,使投资增幅达到20% —25% ,经济增长率就可能达到7.5% —8% ,就业机会就会增加,物价水平回稳到0% 以上,使宏观经济形成较健康的局面
From the perspective of macroeconomic performance, GDP growth in 1999 is expected to be in the range of 6.9% -7.1%. The overall retail price level of goods is around 2.9%. The actual urban unemployment rate (plus laid-off workers) is at 8 % ~ 9% within. As the export growth rate improves, by the end of the year, if the fiscal policy of expanding investment can stimulate non-financial investment to follow up, the national economy may rebound. In 2000, if the policy of restraining savings, stimulating the non-financial investment, encouraging the development of small and medium-sized enterprises and opening up the construction of small towns and cities are given more lenient policies so that the investment growth will reach 20% -25%, the economic growth rate may reach 7%. 5% -8%, employment opportunities will increase, the price level stabilized to 0% or more, the macroeconomic form a more healthy situation