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现在是做规划的时候,在电力规划里首先要做的是电力需求预测,电力需求预测的好坏,决定了规划的好坏。但是近年来的电力需求预测有点愈来愈简单的趋势,而且某些重要的假设脱离了实际,例如中国的电力什么时候饱和,就不符合中国电力实际的发展规律。1电力需求预测方法越来越简单在计划经济年代,电力需求预测相当复杂,首先要求对各个经济部门进行深入的调查,然后根据各种电力需求预测方法进行预测。预测方法很多,有终端利用分析
Now is the time to do planning, the first thing to do in the power planning is the power demand forecast, the power demand forecast is good or bad, determines the quality of the plan. However, in recent years, the forecast of electricity demand tends to be somewhat simpler and some important hypotheses are out of touch with reality. For example, when electricity in China is saturated, it does not meet the actual development rules of China Power. A Power Demand Forecasting Approach Is Simpler In the era of planned economy, the forecast of electricity demand is rather complicated. First, it is required to conduct an in-depth investigation of various economic sectors and make forecasts according to various power demand forecasting methods. There are many prediction methods and terminal utilization analysis