运用犯罪学理论对青少年犯罪的趋势进行预测和评价已经成为一种潮流,然而目前众多的犯罪预防手段尽管是基于充分研究了青少年的阶段性身心发展特征而量身定制的,但仍然存在着效率底下、对策不符合实际等问题。在青少年犯罪社会预防模式中可以引入《孙子兵法》的谋略性思想,对每一个具体措施进行实施效果成本及收益的统计及评估,就可以提高青少年犯罪预防策略的实施效率,强化其实施效果,从而形成高效运转且不断完善的社会预防体系。 Prediction and evaluation of the tendency of juvenile delinquency using criminology has become a trend. However, although many crime prevention methods are tailor-made based on a full study of the characteristics of adolescent’s physical and mental development, there are still some problems in efficiency Bottom, the countermeasure does not meet the actual problems. The strategic thinking of “The Art of War by Sun Tzu” can be introduced into the social prevention model of juvenile delinquency, and the statistics and assessment of the implementation cost and benefit of each specific measure can improve the implementation efficiency of the juvenile crime prevention strategy and enhance its implementation effect. Thus forming a highly efficient and continuous improvement of social prevention system.